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28 February 2011

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"The United States should call upon NATO..."

More abuse of an alliance?

Hoping to prevent bloodshed is more like it!

American Neocons might be the first, for the usual reasons, to speak out loudly about these suggestions. But I am rather sure that pretty much exactly the same points are being raised behind closed doors in a number of European capitals. They just dont show their hand so blatantly.

If the current situation were to continue without significant gains for the rebels/revolutionaries/folks against Gaddafi, its quite possible, such steps come to pass. Personally I think, present developments might render any such thoughts redundant rather sooner than later.

And the worst part of the entire nonsense is that Gaddafi or his successors could then use the U.S. show of force as "proof" that the rebels were in league with the Great Satan all along. I remember that the Iranian dissidents practically begged their U.S. supporters to back our government down because any overt show of force would make the mullahs' case.

And even assuming we did this and it helped precipitate the fall of Gaddafi, the other real problem is, after Gaddafi, who? Libya is in many ways as messed up as Iraq is, and there's no real assurance that whatever comes after Gaddafi will be any better. I've used this analogy before, but it bears repeating; if you'd asked most Russians in 1918 about the Revolution they would probably have told you that regardless, nothing could be worse than the Tsar. And at the very moment the man who would become Josef Stalin was busily working away in the boiler room of the CCCP...

These dumb fuckers just don't seem to get it.

"I am rather sure that pretty much exactly the same points are being raised behind closed doors in a number of European capitals."

It looks to me as if Europeans (less UK and Italy, which are still confused) prefer a route through the UNSC.
To bomb civilians is next to genocide pretty much the only thing that a government can do to push the UN towards intervention in domestic affairs.

@FDCHief

Pretty weak.

China has sortee'd her Xuzhou, a Type 054 Jiangkai-II class missile frigate, from the ongoing seventh PLAN anti-piracy task force deployment off Somalia to steam to Libyan coast to provide support and protection for the ongoing evacuation mission there - with a contingent of Peoples Liberation Marines on board.

Great Britain has launched several SAS pantie raids to evac her ppls.

And State rents a ferry that can't move for 36 hours?

Worrying about what certain elements may or may not say about a particular event seems shamefully like a hostage mindset.

Thanks to real time communications - any cries about any Great Satan league could easily be lol'd, disproved or deflected. After all - where is Aegypt's mighty mighty military? They can't even sortee a reinforced mechanized brigade to protect and evac innocents?

After Colonel Khadaffy? Who cares? After Colonel Khaddaffy will have much to contemplate about modern statecraft and R2P Clause - and a very cool reminder that Great Satan is just over the horizon...

"Worrying about what certain elements may or may not say about a particular event seems shamefully like a hostage mindset."

Actually its a simple principle of international relations.
Unlike the "storm in, shoot, ask questions later"-attitude, that you suggest and that has worked so_well for the US in the past ten years.

No offense...

There is a sense the current British response (special forces, daring c-130 landings / escapes, reports of frigates and destroyers sailing across the Med, today talk of Typhoons to interdict Libyan airspace) are all really just political points-scoring from the Coalition government stung by criticisms they acted too slowly initially. I expect a similar response eventually by the USA - our media is reporting the USS Enterprise and a Marine amphibious force repositioning off the Libyan coast?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/libya/8353559/Libya-West-ready-to-use-force-against-Col-Gaddafi-amid-chemical-weapon-fears.html
Saying that, 3 Hercules, 150 special forces and 2 warships is pretty much the entire British military these days ... !

FD Chief is right to point out that there's no stable government to take over. The political state is the key.

Afghanistan is an example.
If there were, we'd be out of there by now.

Speaking of Neocons, former SecDef Rumsfeld will be signing copies of his book today in the Pentagon. I'll just wait until the book hits the bargain bin at Target... Maybe four months?

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